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Earnings Growth of 8.4% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd (SHSE:600409) Shareholders

Earnings Growth of 8.4% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd (SHSE:600409) Shareholders

3年内8.4%的收益增长不足以转化为唐山三友化工有限公司(SHSE: 600409)股东的正回报
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 18:43

If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the long term shareholders of Tangshan Sanyou Chemical Industries Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600409) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Sadly for them, the share price is down 55% in that time. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 25% in a year.

如果你正在建立一个适当多元化的股票投资组合,那么你的某些选择很可能会表现不佳。但是唐山三友化工股份有限公司的长期股东, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:600409)在过去三年中表现不佳。对他们来说,可悲的是,当时股价下跌了55%。最近的消息并不令人欣慰,股价在一年内下跌了25%。

Since Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd has shed CN¥392m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由于唐山三友化工有限公司在过去7天内已从其市值下跌了3.92亿元人民币,让我们看看长期下跌是否是由该企业的经济推动的。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Although the share price is down over three years, Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd actually managed to grow EPS by 27% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在三年内下跌,但唐山三友化工有限公司实际上设法在此期间每年将每股收益增长27%。这真是个难题,表明可能会有一些东西暂时提振股价。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

Revenue is actually up 7.8% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

在过去的三年中,收入实际上增长了7.8%,因此股价下跌似乎也不取决于收入。这种分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得对唐山三友化工有限公司进行更仔细的研究,因为有时股票会不公平地下跌。这可能带来机会。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600409 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 25th 2024
SHSE: 600409 2024 年 3 月 25 日收益和收入增长

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表的强度至关重要。可能值得一看我们关于其财务状况如何随着时间的推移而变化的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -50%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,唐山三友化工股份有限公司过去3年的股东总回报率为-50%,好于上述股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 23% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约13%,但唐山三友化工有限公司股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了23%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中4%的年化亏损还要糟糕。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向唐山三友化工有限公司确定了两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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