Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd's (SHSE:603938) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 7.9% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd's (SHSE:603938) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 7.9% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
While Tangshan Sunfar Silicon Industries Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603938) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 21% in the last quarter. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 42% in that time. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 41% decline over the last twelve months.
而唐山三丰硅业有限公司, Ltd.(SHSE: 603938)的股东们可能普遍感到高兴,该股最近表现不佳,上个季度股价下跌了21%。好的一面是,在过去的五年中,回报率一直相当不错。毕竟,当时股价上涨了42%,超过了市场。不幸的是,并非所有股东都会长期持有该股票,因此请多考虑那些在过去十二个月中跌幅为41%的股东。
Although Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd has shed CN¥390m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
尽管唐山三丰硅业有限公司本周的市值下跌了3.9亿元人民币,但让我们来看看其长期基本面趋势,看看它们是否推动了回报。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During five years of share price growth, Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 17% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 7% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
在五年的股价增长中,唐山三发硅业有限公司实现了每年17%的复合每股收益(EPS)增长。每股收益的增长高于股价年均增长7%。因此,如今市场似乎对该股并不那么热情。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。
We know that Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
我们知道唐山三化硅业有限公司在过去三年中提高了利润,但是未来会怎样?如果你想进一步调查唐山三发硅业有限公司资产负债表实力,这份关于唐山三发硅业有限公司资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd, it has a TSR of 46% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就唐山三发硅业有限公司而言,其过去5年的股东回报率为46%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
We regret to report that Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd shareholders are down 41% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd that you should be aware of.
我们遗憾地报告,唐山三发硅业有限公司的股东今年下跌了41%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场14%的跌幅还要严重。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚8%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们已经确定了唐山三发硅业有限公司的两个警告标志,你应该注意这些标志。
But note: Tangshan Sunfar Silicon IndustriesLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:唐山三发硅业有限公司可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。