When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 30x, you may consider AECC Aviation Power Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600893) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 67.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, AECC Aviation PowerLtd's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
SHSE:600893 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 27th 2024 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AECC Aviation PowerLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
AECC Aviation PowerLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 2.2%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 15% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 27% during the coming year according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 39%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that AECC Aviation PowerLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that AECC Aviation PowerLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware AECC Aviation PowerLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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