The Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HKG:9658) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 31% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Super Hi International Holding as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Super Hi International Holding Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Super Hi International Holding has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Super Hi International Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Super Hi International Holding's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 213% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 23%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Super Hi International Holding's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Super Hi International Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?
Super Hi International Holding shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've concluded that Super Hi International Holding currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Super Hi International Holding with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Super Hi国际控股有限公司(HKG: 9658)的股价在上个月表现良好,涨幅为28%。并非所有股东都会感到欢欣鼓舞,因为股价在过去十二个月中仍然下跌了令人失望的31%。
由于Super Hi International Holding的价格飙升,鉴于近一半在香港酒店业运营的公司的市销率(或 “市销率”)低于0.8倍,您可以考虑将Super Hi International Holding作为可能避开的股票,其市销率为1.5倍。但是,市销率之高可能是有原因的,需要进一步调查以确定其是否合理。
Super Hi国际控股的表现如何
由于最近的收入增长不如大多数其他公司,Super Hi International Holding一直相对疲软。许多人可能预计,平淡无奇的收入表现将大幅恢复,这阻止了市销率的暴跌。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的可行性感到非常担忧。
想了解分析师如何看待Super Hi International Holding的未来与该行业的对立吗?在这种情况下,我们的免费报告是一个很好的起点。
收入预测与高市销率相匹配吗?
人们固有的假设是,如果像Super Hi International Holding这样的市销率被认为是合理的,公司的表现应该优于该行业。