Shareholders in China CITIC Financial Asset Management (HKG:2799) Have Lost 83%, as Stock Drops 6.5% This Past Week
Shareholders in China CITIC Financial Asset Management (HKG:2799) Have Lost 83%, as Stock Drops 6.5% This Past Week
We're definitely into long term investing, but some companies are simply bad investments over any time frame. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Imagine if you held China CITIC Financial Asset Management Co., Ltd. (HKG:2799) for half a decade as the share price tanked 83%. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 36% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 27% in the last three months. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.
我们肯定在进行长期投资,但有些公司在任何时间段内都只是不良投资。我们真的很讨厌看到其他投资者损失辛苦赚来的钱。想象一下,如果你持有中信金融资产管理有限公司(HKG: 2799)五年,股价下跌了83%。一些最近的买家可能也感到担忧,该股去年下跌了36%。最近跌势加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了27%。虽然这样的下降绝对是沉重的打击,但金钱并不像健康和幸福那么重要。
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for China CITIC Financial Asset Management isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
如果说过去一周有意义的话,投资者对中信金融资产管理的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面与股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。
China CITIC Financial Asset Management wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
中信金融资产管理在过去十二个月中没有盈利,我们不太可能看到其股价与每股收益(EPS)之间存在很强的相关性。可以说,收入是我们的下一个最佳选择。当一家公司没有盈利时,我们通常希望看到良好的收入增长。可以想象,收入的快速增长如果持续下去,通常会带来利润的快速增长。
In the last five years China CITIC Financial Asset Management saw its revenue shrink by 41% per year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. So it's not that strange that the share price dropped 13% per year in that period. We don't think this is a particularly promising picture. Ironically, that behavior could create an opportunity for the contrarian investor - but only if there are good reasons to predict a brighter future.
在过去五年中,中信金融资产管理的收入每年萎缩41%。客气地说,这使它成为一个没有吸引力的群体。因此,在此期间,股价每年下跌13%也就不足为奇了。我们并不认为这是一幅特别有希望的画面。具有讽刺意味的是,这种行为可以为逆势投资者创造机会——但前提是有充分的理由预测更光明的未来。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。
Take a more thorough look at China CITIC Financial Asset Management's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更全面地了解中信金融资产管理的财务状况。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
We regret to report that China CITIC Financial Asset Management shareholders are down 36% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 8.5%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 13% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China CITIC Financial Asset Management that you should be aware of.
我们遗憾地报告,中信金融资产管理的股东今年下跌了36%。不幸的是,这比整个市场8.5%的跌幅还要严重。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临13%的总亏损。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定了中信金融资产管理的两个警告信号,您应该注意这些信号。
Of course China CITIC Financial Asset Management may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,中信金融资产管理可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。