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Tongyu Communication (SZSE:002792) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Tongyu Communication (SZSE:002792) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

通宇通信(深交所:002792)有债务但没有收益;你应该担心吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/27 20:52

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Tongyu Communication Inc. (SZSE:002792) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,通宇通信股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002792)确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Tongyu Communication's Net Debt?

通宇通信的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tongyu Communication had debt of CN¥31.5m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥46.4m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.64b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.61b net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月底,通宇通信的债务为3150万元人民币,较一年4,640万元人民币有所减少。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有16.4亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有16.1亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002792 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024
SZSE: 002792 2024 年 3 月 28 日债务与股权比率历史记录

A Look At Tongyu Communication's Liabilities

看看通裕通信的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Tongyu Communication had liabilities of CN¥741.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥43.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.64b in cash and CN¥992.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.85b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看出,通宇通信在12个月内到期的负债为7.41亿元人民币,在此之后到期的负债为4,380万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有16.4亿元人民币的现金和9.927亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有1.85亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Tongyu Communication's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Tongyu Communication boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tongyu Communication will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

这种过剩的流动性很好地表明通宇通讯的资产负债表几乎和诺克斯堡一样强劲。考虑到这一事实,我们认为其资产负债表像牛一样强劲。简而言之,通宇通信拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为通宇通信需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Tongyu Communication had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 8.0%, to CN¥1.1b. We would much prefer see growth.

去年,通宇通信在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了8.0%,至11亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。

So How Risky Is Tongyu Communication?

那么通宇通信的风险有多大?

While Tongyu Communication lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥70m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Tongyu Communication you should be aware of.

尽管通宇通信在利息税前收益(EBIT)水平上亏损,但其实际账面利润为7000万元人民币。因此,当你考虑到它有净现金和法定利润时,该股票的风险可能没有看起来那么大,至少在短期内是如此。由于去年的收入增长平平,我们认为投资机会并不特别引人注目。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。一个很好的例子:我们已经发现了通宇通讯的两个警告信号,你应该注意了。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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