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Is Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology (SZSE:301255) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology (SZSE:301255) Using Too Much Debt?

浙江通力传动科技(深圳证券交易所股票代码:301255)的债务是否过多?
Simply Wall St ·  03/27 23:36

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301255) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,浙江通力传动技术有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:301255)也使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology Carry?

浙江通力传动科技背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology had CN¥28.5m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥31.6m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥632.8m in cash, leading to a CN¥604.3m net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示浙江通力传动科技在2023年9月有2850万元人民币的债务,低于一年前的3160万元人民币。但另一方面,它也有6.328亿元的现金,净现金状况为6.043亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301255 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024
SZSE: 301255 2024 年 3 月 28 日债务与股权比率历史记录

A Look At Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology's Liabilities

看看浙江通力传动科技的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology had liabilities of CN¥202.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥30.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥632.8m and CN¥155.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥555.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,浙江通力传动科技的负债为2.026亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为3,040万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为6.328亿元人民币,还有价值1.556亿元人民币的应收账款。所以它实际上有5.554亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This excess liquidity suggests that Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种过剩的流动性表明,浙江通力传动科技正在谨慎地处理债务。由于其强大的净资产状况,它不太可能面临贷款人的问题。简而言之,浙江通力传动科技拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 21% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

如果管理层无法阻止去年削减21%的息税前利润,那么其适度的债务负担可能对浙江通力传动科技至关重要。当一家公司看到盈利下降时,它有时会发现与贷款机构的关系恶化。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为浙江通力传动科技需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology recorded free cash flow of 48% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。浙江同力传动科技的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。从最近三年来看,浙江通力传动科技录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的48%,低于我们的预期。在偿还债务方面,这并不好。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology has net cash of CN¥604.3m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang TongLi Transmission Technology (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,浙江通力传动科技的净现金为6.043亿元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。因此,我们对浙江通力传动科技使用债务没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了浙江通力传动科技的3个警告标志(其中1个不容忽视!)你应该知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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