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Is HengbaoLtd (SZSE:002104) A Risky Investment?

Is HengbaoLtd (SZSE:002104) A Risky Investment?

恒宝有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002104)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/28 00:54

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Hengbao Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002104) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,恒宝公司, Ltd.(深圳证券交易所:002104)确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is HengbaoLtd's Debt?

恒宝有限公司的债务是什么?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that HengbaoLtd had debt of CN¥45.4m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥66.9m over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥976.3m in cash, leading to a CN¥930.9m net cash position.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月底,恒宝有限公司的债务为4540万元人民币,较一年内的6690万元人民币有所减少。但另一方面,它也有9.763亿元的现金,净现金状况为9.309亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002104 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024
SZSE: 002104 2024 年 3 月 28 日债务与股权比率历史记录

A Look At HengbaoLtd's Liabilities

看看恒宝有限公司的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HengbaoLtd had liabilities of CN¥217.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥7.29m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥976.3m and CN¥320.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.07b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,恒宝有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为2.171亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为729万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为9.763亿元人民币,还有价值3.208亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出10.7亿元人民币 负债。

It's good to see that HengbaoLtd has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, HengbaoLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

很高兴看到HengbaolTD的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明对负债的管理比较保守。由于其强大的净资产状况,它不太可能面临贷款人的问题。简而言之,HengbaolTD拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

Better yet, HengbaoLtd grew its EBIT by 160% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is HengbaoLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

更好的是,恒宝有限公司去年的息税前利润增长了160%,这是一个令人印象深刻的改善。如果这种增长得以维持,将使未来几年的债务更加易于管理。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是HengbaolTD的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While HengbaoLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, HengbaoLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管HengbaolTD的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,HengbaolTD的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case HengbaoLtd has CN¥930.9m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 160% over the last year. So we don't think HengbaoLtd's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that HengbaoLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在本案中,HengbaolTD拥有9.309亿元人民币的净现金和不错的资产负债表。它的息税前利润比去年增长了160%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。因此,我们认为HengbaolTD使用债务没有风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。请注意,HengbaolTD在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,您应该知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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