HK$0.56: That's What Analysts Think Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (HKG:1033) Is Worth After Its Latest Results
HK$0.56: That's What Analysts Think Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (HKG:1033) Is Worth After Its Latest Results
Shareholders might have noticed that Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (HKG:1033) filed its annual result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.1% to HK$0.47 in the past week. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at CN¥80b, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
股东们可能已经注意到,中石化油田服务股份有限公司(HKG: 1033)上周这个时候公布了年度业绩。早期的反应并不乐观,过去一周股价下跌4.1%,至0.47港元。总体而言,这是一个不错的业绩,收入为800亿元人民币,大致符合分析师的预期。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以在报告中追踪公司的业绩,看看专家对明年的预测,看看对该业务的预期是否有任何变化。我们认为,读者会发现分析师对明年最新(法定)财报后的预测很有趣。
Following the latest results, Sinopec Oilfield Service's twin analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥86.7b in 2024. This would be a meaningful 8.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to plummet 27% to CN¥0.023 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥85.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.024 in 2024. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.
根据最新业绩,中石化油田服务的双位分析师现在预测2024年的收入为867亿元人民币。与过去12个月相比,这将使收入大幅增长8.4%。预计同期每股法定收益将下降27%,至0.023元人民币。在本报告发布之前,分析师一直在模拟2024年的收入为855亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为0.024元人民币。鉴于明年每股收益略有下降,分析师在最新业绩公布后似乎对该业务变得更加消极了。
The average price target fell 19% to HK$0.56, with reduced earnings forecasts clearly tied to a lower valuation estimate.
平均目标股价下跌19%,至0.56港元,盈利预期的下调显然与估值估计值的降低有关。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Sinopec Oilfield Service's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Sinopec Oilfield Service's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 8.4% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 4.3% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 9.3% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Sinopec Oilfield Service is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
这些估计很有趣,但是在查看预测与中石化油田服务过去的表现以及与同一行业的同行进行比较时,可以更粗略地描述一些细节。从最新估计中可以明显看出,中石化油田服务的增长率预计将大幅加快,预计到2024年底的年化收入增长率为8.4%,明显快于过去五年中每年4.3%的历史增长。预计该行业其他类似公司(有分析师报道)的收入也将以每年9.3%的速度增长。考虑到收入增长的预测,很明显,中石化油田服务预计将以与整个行业大致相同的速度增长。
The Bottom Line
底线
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Sinopec Oilfield Service. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
最大的担忧是,分析师下调了每股收益预期,这表明中石化油田服务可能会面临业务不利因素。他们还重申了收入预期,预计该公司的增长速度将与整个行业大致相同。此外,分析师还下调了目标股价,这表明最新消息加剧了人们对业务内在价值的悲观情绪。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Sinopec Oilfield Service going out as far as 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们的分析师估计,中石化油田服务将持续到2026年,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Sinopec Oilfield Service that you need to take into consideration.
还值得注意的是,我们发现了中石化油田服务的1个警告信号,你需要考虑。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。