Shandong Shengli (SZSE:000407) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
Shandong Shengli (SZSE:000407) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
The recent earnings posted by Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000407) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.
山东胜利股份有限公司(SZSE: 000407)最近公布的收益稳健,但该股的波动幅度没有我们预期的那么大。我们认为这是由于投资者将目光投向了法定利润之外并关注他们所看到的情况。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不寻常的物品如何影响利润?
Importantly, our data indicates that Shandong Shengli's profit received a boost of CN¥26m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Shandong Shengli doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
重要的是,我们的数据表明,与去年相比,山东胜利的不寻常项目利润增加了2600万元人民币。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。如果山东胜利认为这一贡献不会重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shandong Shengli.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对山东胜利的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Shandong Shengli's Profit Performance
我们对山东胜利表现的看法
We'd posit that Shandong Shengli's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Shandong Shengli's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 8.9% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Shandong Shengli, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shandong Shengli.
我们认为,山东胜利的法定收益并不能完全反映当前的生产率,这是因为这个很大的不寻常项目。因此,在我们看来,山东胜利的真正潜在盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。尽管如此,仍然值得注意的是,其每股收益在过去三年中增长了8.9%。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。如果你想更深入地了解山东胜利,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。为了帮助解决这个问题,我们发现了 2 个警告信号(1 个有点令人担忧!)在购买山东胜利的任何股票之前,你应该注意这一点。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shandong Shengli's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
今天,我们放大了单一数据点,以更好地了解山东胜利的利润性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。