Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting (SHSE:603712) Shareholders
Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting (SHSE:603712) Shareholders
The subdued market reaction suggests that TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603712) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
疲软的市场反应表明,天津七一二通信广播有限公司s(上海证券交易所代码:603712)最近的收益没有任何意外。我们的分析表明,除了疲软的利润数字外,投资者还应意识到这些数字中的其他一些潜在弱点。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不寻常的物品如何影响利润?
Importantly, our data indicates that TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting's profit received a boost of CN¥38m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
重要的是,我们的数据表明,与去年相比,天津712通信广播公司的利润在不寻常项目上增加了3800万元人民币。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。如果天津712通信广播公司没有看到这种捐款重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。
An Unusual Tax Situation
不寻常的税收状况
Just as we noted the unusual items, we must inform you that TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting received a tax benefit which contributed CN¥43m to the bottom line. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.
正如我们注意到这些不寻常的项目一样,我们必须通知您,天津712通信广播公司获得了税收优惠,为利润贡献了4,300万元人民币。这当然有点不寻常,因为公司纳税比获得税收优惠更为普遍!当然, 初步证实 能获得税收优惠真是太好了。但是,细节上的问题在于,此类福利仅在预订当年有影响,而且本质上通常是一次性的。假设每年都不重复享受税收优惠,在其他条件相同的情况下,我们可能会看到其盈利能力明显下降。因此,尽管我们认为获得税收优惠是件好事,但这确实意味着法定利润夸大了企业可持续盈利能力的风险增加。
Our Take On TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting's Profit Performance
我们对天津712通信广播盈利表现的看法
In the last year TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting received a tax benefit, which boosted its profit in a way that might not be much more sustainable than turning prime farmland into gas fields. And on top of that, it also saw an unusual item boost its profit, suggesting that next year might see a lower profit number, if these events are not repeated. Considering all this we'd argue TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. Obviously, we love to consider the historical data to inform our opinion of a company. But it can be really valuable to consider what other analysts are forecasting. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
去年,天津712通信广播获得了税收优惠,这增加了其利润,其可持续性可能不会比将优质农田变成气田更具可持续性。最重要的是,它还看到一个不寻常的项目提高了利润,这表明如果这些事件不重演,明年的利润数字可能会降低。考虑到所有这些,我们认为天津712通信广播公司的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于宽松的印象。显然,我们喜欢考虑历史数据来为我们对公司的看法提供依据。但是,考虑其他分析师的预测可能非常有价值。幸运的是,您可以点击此处查看分析师的预测。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
在本文中,我们研究了许多可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多值得发现的地方。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “追随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这批拥有高股本回报率的免费公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。