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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Yunnan Energy Investment's (SZSE:002053) Earnings

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Yunnan Energy Investment's (SZSE:002053) Earnings

云南能源投资(SZSE:002053)的收益质量可能存在潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  04/03 19:46

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Yunnan Energy Investment Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002053) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

尽管公布了一些强劲的收益,但云南能源投资有限公司的市场。”s(SZSE:002053)的股票涨幅不大。我们的分析表明,股东们注意到了一些令人担忧的数字。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002053 Earnings and Revenue History April 3rd 2024
SZSE: 002053 2024 年 4 月 3 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Yunnan Energy Investment's Earnings

放大云南能源投资的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

Yunnan Energy Investment has an accrual ratio of 0.30 for the year to December 2023. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥482.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥2.6b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥2.6b, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2023年12月的一年中,云南能源投资的应计比率为0.30。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远少于其法定利润,这使我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。尽管该公司公布了4.823亿元的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了26亿元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年26亿元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yunnan Energy Investment.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对云南能源投资的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Yunnan Energy Investment's Profit Performance

我们对云南能源投资盈利表现的看法

Yunnan Energy Investment's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Yunnan Energy Investment's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Yunnan Energy Investment and you'll want to know about these bad boys.

云南能源投资过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换不理想,从我们对收益的看法来看,这是负数。因此,我们认为可能是云南能投的法定利润要好于其基础盈利能力。但好消息是,其在过去三年中的每股收益增长非常令人印象深刻。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。你可能会有兴趣知道,我们发现了云南能源投资的两个警告信号,你会想知道这些坏小伙子的情况。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Yunnan Energy Investment's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

本报告仅研究了揭示云南能源投资利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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