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We Think Hengxin Technology's (HKG:1085) Solid Earnings Are Understated

We Think Hengxin Technology's (HKG:1085) Solid Earnings Are Understated

我们认为恒信科技(HKG: 1085)的稳健收益被低估了
Simply Wall St ·  04/04 18:51

Despite posting healthy earnings, Hengxin Technology Ltd.'s (HKG:1085 ) stock has been quite weak. We have done some analysis, and found some encouraging factors that we believe the shareholders should consider.

尽管公布了可观的收益,但恒信科技有限公司's (HKG: 1085) 的股票一直相当疲软。我们已经进行了一些分析,发现了一些令人鼓舞的因素,我们认为股东应该考虑这些因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1085 Earnings and Revenue History April 4th 2024
SEHK: 1085 2024 年 4 月 4 日的收益和收入记录

Zooming In On Hengxin Technology's Earnings

放大恒信科技的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如财务爱好者已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与其利润相匹配程度的关键指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时间内的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率为正(表明非现金利润达到一定水平)不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸质利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Hengxin Technology recorded an accrual ratio of -0.11. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥269m, well over the CN¥69.7m it reported in profit. Hengxin Technology's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,恒信科技的应计比率为-0.11。这意味着它具有良好的现金转化率,也意味着其去年的自由现金流稳步超过了利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为2.69亿元人民币,远远超过其公布的利润6,970万元人民币。去年,恒信科技的自由现金流实际上有所下降,这令人失望,就像不可生物降解的气球一样。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hengxin Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对恒信科技的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Hengxin Technology's Profit Performance

我们对恒信科技盈利表现的看法

Hengxin Technology's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Hengxin Technology's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 14% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Hengxin Technology as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that Hengxin Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...

正如我们在上面讨论的那样,恒信科技的应计比率很稳定,表明自由现金流强劲。正因为如此,我们认为恒信科技的盈利潜力至少和看起来一样好,甚至可能更好!最重要的是,在过去三年中,其每股收益以每年14%的速度增长。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。如果您想进一步了解恒信科技作为一家企业,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。请注意,恒信科技在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hengxin Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解恒信科技利润的性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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