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Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's (SZSE:300904) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's (SZSE:300904) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

银川威立传动科技(深圳证券交易所代码:300904)的问题不仅仅是利润疲软
Simply Wall St ·  04/04 19:22

A lackluster earnings announcement from Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300904) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

银川威立传动技术有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:300904)上周公布的财报乏善可陈,但并未使股价下跌。但是,我们认为,投资者应注意一些可能令人担忧的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300904 Earnings and Revenue History April 4th 2024
SZSE: 300904 2024 年 4 月 4 日的收益和收入历史记录

Examining Cashflow Against Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's Earnings

根据银川威立传动科技的收益研究现金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

For the year to December 2023, Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.42. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥249m despite its profit of CN¥41.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥249m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,银川威立传动科技的应计比率为0.42。从统计学上讲,这对未来的收益来说确实是负面的。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生一点自由现金流。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为4,120万元人民币,但流出量仍为2.49亿元人民币,如上所述。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年2.49亿元的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对银川威力传动科技的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Unfortunately (in the short term) Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥7.8m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

不幸的是(短期内)银川威立传动科技的利润因价值780万元人民币的不寻常项目而减少。如果这是非现金支出,如果现金流保持强劲,本来可以改善应计比率,因此,再加上平淡无奇的应计比率,就不太好了。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。鉴于这些单列项目被认为不寻常,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的支出不会再次出现,因此,在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计银川威立传动科技明年将实现更高的利润。

Our Take On Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's Profit Performance

我们对银川威立传动科技盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

总之,银川威力传动科技的应计比率表明,尽管不寻常的项目打压了利润,但其法定收益没有现金流支持。考虑到这些因素,我们认为银川威力传动科技的法定利润对该业务的看法并不过于严厉。如果你想更深入地了解银川威立传动科技,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。当我们进行研究时,我们发现了银川威力传动科技的4个警告信号(2个不要坐得太好!)我们认为值得你全神贯注。

Our examination of Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对银川威立传动科技的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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