share_log

Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s (SHSE:600689) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s (SHSE:600689) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

上海三毛企业(集团)(SHSE: 600689)的收益可能只是起点
Simply Wall St ·  04/05 18:35

Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600689) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

上海三毛企业(集团)有限公司(SHSE: 600689)宣布盈利,但该股停滞不前。我们的分析表明,这可能是因为股东已经注意到了一些相关的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600689 Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2024
SHSE: 600689 2024 年 4 月 5 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s Earnings

仔细看看上海三毛企业(集团)的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) recorded an accrual ratio of -0.24. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥53m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥17.6m. Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,上海三毛企业(集团)的应计比率为-0.24。因此,其法定收入大大低于其自由现金流。换句话说,它在此期间产生了5300万元人民币的自由现金流,使其报告的1760万元利润相形见绌。上海三毛企业(集团)的自由现金流与去年相比有所改善,总体而言,这是值得期待的。话虽如此,故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group).

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海三茂企业(集团)的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥7.9m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

尽管应计比率可能是个好兆头,但我们还注意到,在过去的十二个月中,价值790万元人民币的不寻常项目提振了上海三毛企业(集团)的利润。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。我们可以看到,截至2023年12月的一年中,上海三毛企业(集团)的正面不寻常项目相对于其利润相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。

Our Take On Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s Profit Performance

我们对上海三毛企业(集团)盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group)'s profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. If you want to do dive deeper into Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group), you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

总之,上海三毛企业(集团)的应计比率表明其法定收益质量良好,但另一方面,利润是由不寻常的项目提振的。鉴于截然不同的考虑,我们对上海三毛企业(集团)的利润是否恰当反映了其潜在的盈利潜力没有强烈的看法。如果你想更深入地了解上海三毛企业(集团),你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。例如,我们已经确定了你应该熟悉的上海三毛企业(集团)的3个警告标志(1个有点令人担忧)。

Our examination of Shanghai Sanmao Enterprise (Group) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对上海三毛企业(集团)的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发