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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603097)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603097)?

股票下跌和财务状况良好:市场对江苏华晨变压器有限公司(SHSE: 603097)的看法错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/11 20:06

It is hard to get excited after looking at Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's (SHSE:603097) recent performance, when its stock has declined 13% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's ROE today.

看了江苏华晨变压器(SHSE: 603097)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,当时该公司的股票在过去三个月中下跌了13%。但是,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势一致。特别是,我们今天将关注江苏华晨变压器的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Huachen Transformer is:

因此,根据上面的公式,江苏华晨变压器的投资回报率为:

10% = CN¥91m ÷ CN¥873m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

10% = 9.1亿元人民币 ÷ 8.73亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。另一种思考方式是,公司每持有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.10元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

江苏华晨变压器的收益增长和10%的投资回报率的并排比较

On the face of it, Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 7.1% doesn't go unnoticed by us. This probably goes some way in explaining Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's moderate 8.0% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

从表面上看,江苏华晨变压器的投资回报率没什么好谈的。但是,其投资回报率远高于行业平均水平的7.1%,这一事实并没有被我们忽视。除其他因素外,这可能在某种程度上解释了江苏华晨变压器在过去五年中8.0%的温和增长。话虽如此,该公司的投资回报率一开始确实略低,只是高于行业平均水平。因此,可能还有其他一些方面导致收益增长。例如,该公司的派息率较低,或者可能属于高增长行业。

We then compared Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 14% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将江苏华晨变压器的净收入增长与行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数字低于同期14%的行业平均增长率,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603097 Past Earnings Growth April 12th 2024
SHSE: 603097 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 12 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Jiangsu Huachen Transformer fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。与其他公司相比,江苏华晨变压器的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

江苏华晨变压器是否有效利用了留存收益?

Jiangsu Huachen Transformer has a three-year median payout ratio of 30%, which implies that it retains the remaining 70% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

江苏华晨变压器的三年派息率中位数为30%,这意味着它保留了剩余的70%的利润。这表明其股息覆盖范围良好,鉴于该公司的可观增长,管理层似乎正在有效地对其收益进行再投资。

While Jiangsu Huachen Transformer has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend.

尽管江苏华晨变压器的收益一直在增长,但它直到最近才开始派发股息,这可能意味着该公司决定通过分红来打动新老股东。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Jiangsu Huachen Transformer certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a respectable rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see a good amount of growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Jiangsu Huachen Transformer visit our risks dashboard for free.

总的来说,我们认为江苏华晨变压器确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。具体而言,我们喜欢该公司以可观的回报率再投资其利润的很大一部分。当然,这使该公司的收益实现了可观的增长。虽然我们不会完全解散公司,但我们要做的是努力确定业务的风险,以便在公司周围做出更明智的决定。要了解我们为江苏华晨变压器确定的三种风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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