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Here's Why Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (HKG:2419) Can Afford Some Debt

Here's Why Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (HKG:2419) Can Afford Some Debt

这就是德康粮农集团(HKG: 2419)能够负担部分债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/12 18:54

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Dekon Food and Agriculture Group (HKG:2419) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,德康粮农集团(HKG: 2419)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人,它可能会破产。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资金以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可能是一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

What Is Dekon Food and Agriculture Group's Debt?

德康粮农集团的债务是多少?

As you can see below, Dekon Food and Agriculture Group had CN¥6.10b of debt at December 2023, down from CN¥6.93b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥2.60b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥3.50b.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,德康粮农集团的债务为61.0亿元人民币,低于去年同期的69.3亿加元。但是,它也有26亿元的现金,因此其净负债为35亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2419 Debt to Equity History April 12th 2024
SEHK: 2419 2024 年 4 月 12 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At Dekon Food and Agriculture Group's Liabilities

看看 Dekon 粮农集团的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dekon Food and Agriculture Group had liabilities of CN¥9.69b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥5.39b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.60b and CN¥97.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥12.4b.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,德康粮农集团的负债为96.9亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为53.9亿元人民币。另一方面,它有26亿元人民币的现金和价值9,790万元人民币的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额124亿元人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥18.0b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Dekon Food and Agriculture Group's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Dekon Food and Agriculture Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

相对于其180亿元人民币的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注德康粮农集团对债务的使用。这表明,如果公司需要迅速支撑资产负债表,股东将被严重稀释。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定德康食品和农业集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In the last year Dekon Food and Agriculture Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 7.4%, to CN¥16b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,德康粮农集团在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但其收入增长了7.4%,达到160亿元人民币。我们通常希望看到无利可图的公司实现更快的增长,但每家公司都有自己的发展。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Dekon Food and Agriculture Group produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥1.0b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥1.8b into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Dekon Food and Agriculture Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

在过去的十二个月中,德康食品和农业集团出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为1.0亿元人民币。当我们审视这一点并回顾其资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,对我们来说,公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管可以随着时间的推移而改善。如果它将过去十二个月的18亿元人民币的亏损转化为利润,我们会感觉更好。因此,坦率地说,我们确实认为这是有风险的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经向德康粮农集团确定了一个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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