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Is John B. Sanfilippo & Son (NASDAQ:JBSS) A Risky Investment?

Is John B. Sanfilippo & Son (NASDAQ:JBSS) A Risky Investment?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son(纳斯达克股票代码:JBSS)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/13 08:06

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (NASDAQ:JBSS) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到,约翰·桑菲利波父子公司(纳斯达克股票代码:JBSS)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么债务就会任由他们摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东才能控制债务。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事就是综合考虑其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does John B. Sanfilippo & Son Carry?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son 背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 John B. Sanfilippo & Son had US$41.0m of debt, an increase on US$33.7m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$1.98m in cash leading to net debt of about US$39.0m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年12月,约翰·桑菲利波父子公司在一年内有4,10万美元的债务,比3370万美元有所增加。另一方面,它拥有198万美元的现金,净负债约为3,900万美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:JBSS Debt to Equity History April 13th 2024
NASDAQGS: JBSS 债权与股本比率历史记录 2024 年 4 月 13 日

A Look At John B. Sanfilippo & Son's Liabilities

看看 John B. Sanfilippo & Son 的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that John B. Sanfilippo & Son had liabilities of US$128.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$48.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.98m in cash and US$77.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$97.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,约翰·B.Sanfilippo & Son的负债为1.283亿美元,一年后到期的负债为4,890万美元。与此相抵消的是,它有198万美元的现金和7,740万美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出9,780万美元。

Since publicly traded John B. Sanfilippo & Son shares are worth a total of US$1.15b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由于公开交易的John B. Sanfilippo & Son股票的总价值为11.5亿美元,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

John B. Sanfilippo & Son's net debt is only 0.35 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 41.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that John B. Sanfilippo & Son has increased its EBIT by 6.3% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since John B. Sanfilippo & Son will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son的净负债仅为其息税折旧摊销前利润的0.35倍。而且其息税前利润很容易弥补其利息支出,是其规模的41.9倍。因此,你可以争辩说,它受到债务的威胁并不比大象受到老鼠的威胁更大。好消息是,John B. Sanfilippo & Son在十二个月内将其息税前利润增长了6.3%,这应该可以缓解对债务偿还的任何担忧。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为约翰·桑菲利波和儿子需要收入来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, John B. Sanfilippo & Son recorded free cash flow worth 71% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在最近三年中,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,John B. Sanfilippo & Son录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的71%,这几乎是正常的。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

John B. Sanfilippo & Son's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Zooming out, John B. Sanfilippo & Son seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - John B. Sanfilippo & Son has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son的利息保障表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在对阵14岁以下的守门员的比赛中进球一样轻松地处理债务。这仅仅是好消息的开始,因为其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例也非常令人鼓舞。缩小规模,John B. Sanfilippo & Son似乎相当合理地使用债务;这得到了我们的点头。毕竟,合理的杠杆可以提高股本回报率。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如-John B. Sanfilippo & Son 有 1 个警告信号,我们认为你应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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