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Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Huali Industrial Group Company Limited (SZSE:300979) Price Target To CN¥72.32

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Huali Industrial Group Company Limited (SZSE:300979) Price Target To CN¥72.32

最新财报:这就是分析师刚刚将华立工业集团有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:300979)目标股价上调至72.32元人民币的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/15 20:40

Huali Industrial Group Company Limited (SZSE:300979) came out with its full-year results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. Huali Industrial Group reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of CN¥20b and statutory earnings per share of CN¥2.74, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

华立工业集团有限公司(SZSE: 300979)上周公布了全年业绩,我们想看看该业务的表现如何,以及行业预测员对该公司的看法。华立工业集团的报告与分析师的预测一致,收入为200亿元人民币,法定每股收益为2.74元人民币,这表明该业务表现良好,符合其计划。分析师通常会在每份收益报告中更新他们的预测,我们可以从他们的估计中判断他们对公司的看法是否发生了变化,或者是否有任何新的问题需要注意。我们认为,读者会发现分析师对明年最新(法定)财报后的预测很有趣。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300979 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 16th 2024
深圳证券交易所:300979 2024年4月16日收益和收入增长

Following the latest results, Huali Industrial Group's eleven analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥23.5b in 2024. This would be a meaningful 17% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to swell 17% to CN¥3.20. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥23.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥3.19 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

根据最新业绩,华立工业集团的11位分析师现在预测2024年的收入为235亿元人民币。与过去12个月相比,这将使收入大幅增长17%。预计每股收益将增长17%,至3.20元人民币。在本报告发布之前,分析师一直在模拟2024年的收入为233亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为3.19元人民币。因此,很明显,尽管分析师已经更新了估计,但在最新业绩公布后,对该业务的预期没有重大变化。

The consensus price target rose 6.1% to CN¥72.32despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of Huali Industrial Group's earnings by assigning a price premium. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Huali Industrial Group at CN¥77.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥66.01. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

尽管收益预期没有有意义的变化,但共识目标股价上涨了6.1%,至72.32元人民币。可能是分析师通过分配价格溢价来反映华立工业集团收益的可预测性。共识目标股价只是个别分析师目标的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基础估计值的范围有多广。目前,最看涨的分析师对华立工业集团的估值为每股77.00元人民币,而最看跌的分析师估值为每股66.01元人民币。估计值的狭窄差异可能表明该业务的未来相对容易估值,或者分析师对其前景有强烈的看法。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Huali Industrial Group's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 17% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 11% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 15% annually. Huali Industrial Group is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

当然,看待这些预测的另一种方法是将它们与行业本身联系起来。分析师肯定预计华立工业集团的增长将加速,预计到2024年底的年化增长率为17%,而过去五年的历史年增长率为11%。相比之下,同行业的其他公司预计收入每年将增长15%。预计华立工业集团的增长速度将与其行业大致相同,因此目前尚不清楚我们能否从其相对于竞争对手的增长中得出任何结论。

The Bottom Line

底线

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

最明显的结论是,该业务的前景最近没有重大变化,分析师的收益预测保持稳定,与先前的估计一致。他们还重申了收入预期,预计该公司的增长速度将与整个行业大致相同。目标股价也大幅提高,分析师显然认为该业务的内在价值正在提高。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Huali Industrial Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们对华立工业集团到2026年的发展做出了预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Huali Industrial Group that you need to take into consideration.

还值得注意的是,我们已经发现了华立工业集团的1个警告信号,你需要考虑。

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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