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Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's (SZSE:300507) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's (SZSE:300507) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

江苏奥利弗传感器高科技(深圳证券交易所股票代码:300507)的股东需要担心的不仅仅是疲软的收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/16 19:57

Last week's earnings announcement from Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300507) was disappointing to investors, with a sluggish profit figure. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.

江苏奥利弗传感高科技股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:300507)上周的财报公告令投资者失望,盈利数字低迷。我们进行了进一步的挖掘,认为除了法定利润外,他们还有其他一些值得关注的理由。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300507 Earnings and Revenue History April 16th 2024
SZSE: 300507 2024 年 4 月 16 日的收益和收入记录

Examining Cashflow Against Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's Earnings

根据江苏奥利弗传感器高科技的收益检查现金流

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

For the year to December 2023, Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech had an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥103m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥123.9m. It's worth noting that Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech generated positive FCF of CN¥68m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,江苏奥利弗传感器高科的应计比率为0.22。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为1.03亿元人民币,而上述利润为1.239亿元人民币。值得注意的是,江苏奥利弗传感器高科技一年前创造了6800万元人民币的正FCF,因此至少他们过去曾这样做过。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对江苏奥利弗传感器高科技的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥9.6m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考虑到应计比率,在过去的十二个月中,江苏奥利弗传感器高科的利润因价值960万元人民币的不寻常项目而提振也就不足为奇了。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,因此我们预计明年的利润将疲软(也就是说,在业务没有增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's Profit Performance

我们对江苏奥利弗传感器高科技盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech at this point in time. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech (1 can't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these bad boys before investing.

总而言之,江苏奥利弗传感器高科从不寻常的物品中获得了不错的利润提振,但其纸面利润无法与自由现金流相提并论。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼江苏奥利弗传感器高科的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑江苏奥利弗传感器高科技目前面临的风险同样重要。我们的分析显示江苏奥利弗传感器高科有3个警告信号(1个不容忽视!)我们强烈建议你在投资之前先看看这些坏孩子。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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