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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:002750) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:002750) Cash Burn Situation

这就是为什么我们不太担心昆明龙津药业(SZSE:002750)的现金消耗情况的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/17 18:20

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

即使企业亏损,如果股东以合适的价格收购一家好的企业,他们也有可能赚钱。例如,尽管Amazon.com在上市后多年亏损,但如果您自1999年以来一直买入并持有股票,您本来可以发大财。尽管如此,只有傻瓜才会忽视亏损公司过快耗尽现金的风险。

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002750) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

考虑到这种风险,我们想看看昆明龙津药业(SZSE:002750)的股东是否应该担心其现金消耗。就本文而言,现金消耗是无利可图的公司每年花费现金为其增长提供资金的比率;其负自由现金流。第一步是将其现金消耗与现金储备进行比较,为我们提供 “现金流”。

How Long Is Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's Cash Runway?

昆明龙津药业的现金流有多长?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. In September 2023, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical had CN¥347m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥65m. Therefore, from September 2023 it had 5.4 years of cash runway. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

公司的现金流是指以当前的现金消耗率消耗现金储备所需的时间。2023年9月,昆明龙津药业拥有3.47亿元人民币的现金,并且没有债务。纵观去年,该公司耗资6500万元人民币。因此,从2023年9月起,它有5.4年的现金流道。尽管这只是衡量其现金消耗情况的一个指标,但它无疑给我们的印象是持有人不必担心。您可以在下图中看到其现金余额如何随着时间的推移而变化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002750 Debt to Equity History April 17th 2024
SZSE: 002750 2024 年 4 月 17 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Well Is Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical Growing?

昆明龙津药业发展如何?

Notably, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 101%, signifying heavy investment in the business. And that is all the more of a concern in light of the fact that operating revenue was actually down by 57% in the last year, as the company no doubt scrambles to change its fortunes. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

值得注意的是,去年,昆明龙津制药实际上非常迅速地增加了现金消耗,增长了101%,这表明对该业务进行了大量投资。鉴于去年的营业收入实际上下降了57%,这尤其令人担忧,因为该公司无疑正在争先恐后地改变命运。鉴于上述情况,我们对公司的发展轨迹非常谨慎。实际上,本文仅对公司的增长数据进行了简短的研究。您可以通过查看昆明龙津制药收入和收益历史的可视化来了解昆明龙津制药如何随着时间的推移发展其业务。

How Hard Would It Be For Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical To Raise More Cash For Growth?

昆明龙津药业筹集更多资金促进增长会有多难?

Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

就现金消耗而言,昆明龙津制药似乎处于相当不错的位置,但我们仍然认为值得考虑如果它愿意,它可以多么容易地筹集更多资金。公司可以通过债务或股权筹集资金。通常,企业会自行出售新股以筹集现金和推动增长。通过将公司的年度现金消耗与其总市值进行比较,我们可以大致估计该公司必须发行多少股才能再经营一年(以相同的消耗率)。

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥2.4b, Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's CN¥65m in cash burn equates to about 2.7% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

由于其市值为24亿元人民币,昆明龙津药业的6500万元现金消耗相当于其市值的2.7%左右。这意味着它可以轻松发行几股股票来为更多的增长提供资金,并且很可能有能力廉价地借款。

So, Should We Worry About Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's Cash Burn?

那么,我们应该担心昆明龙津药业的现金消耗吗?

On this analysis of Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

在对昆明龙津药业现金消耗的分析中,我们认为其现金流令人放心,而其收入下降使我们有些担忧。根据本文中提到的因素,我们认为其现金消耗情况值得股东关注,但我们认为他们不应该担心。读者在投资股票之前需要对商业风险有充分的了解,我们发现了昆明龙津药业的两个警告信号,潜在股东在向股票投入资金之前应考虑这些信号。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,来看看这份内部人士正在买入的公司的免费清单,以及这份成长型股票清单(根据分析师的预测)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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