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Analysts Just Shaved Their DongHua Testing Technology Co. , Ltd. (SZSE:300354) Forecasts Dramatically

Analysts Just Shaved Their DongHua Testing Technology Co. , Ltd. (SZSE:300354) Forecasts Dramatically

分析师刚刚大幅下调了东华测试技术有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:300354)的预测
Simply Wall St ·  04/17 19:02

The analysts covering DongHua Testing Technology Co. , Ltd. (SZSE:300354) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.

报道东华测试技术股份有限公司(SZSE: 300354)的分析师今天对今年的法定预测进行了实质性修订,从而向股东传递了一定负面情绪。收入和每股收益(EPS)的预测都出现了偏差,这表明分析师对该业务的看法主要恶化。

Following the downgrade, the current consensus from DongHua Testing Technology's three analysts is for revenues of CN¥679m in 2024 which - if met - would reflect a sizeable 59% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 45% to CN¥1.47. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥783m and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.83 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a real cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

降级之后,东华测试科技的三位分析师目前的共识是,2024年的收入为6.79亿元人民币,如果降级的话,将反映出其在过去12个月中销售额的大幅增长59%。每股收益预计将增长45%,至1.47元人民币。在本次更新之前,分析师一直预测2024年的收入为7.83亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为1.83元人民币。看来分析师的情绪已大幅下降,收入预期大幅下降,每股收益数字也出现了实际下降。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300354 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 17th 2024
SZSE: 300354 2024年4月17日收益和收入增长

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 14% to CN¥47.04.

因此,得知分析师已将目标股价下调14%至47.04元人民币也就不足为奇了。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting DongHua Testing Technology's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 59% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 24% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 17% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect DongHua Testing Technology to grow faster than the wider industry.

从现在的大局来看,我们可以理解这些预测的方法之一是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。分析师肯定预计东华测试科技的增长将加速,预计到2024年底的年化增长率为59%,而过去五年的历史年增长率为24%。相比之下,我们的数据表明,预计类似行业的其他公司(有分析师报道)的收入将以每年17%的速度增长。显而易见,尽管增长前景比最近更加光明,但分析师也预计东华测试科技的增长速度将超过整个行业。

The Bottom Line

底线

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for DongHua Testing Technology. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of DongHua Testing Technology.

新估计中最大的问题是分析师下调了每股收益预期,这表明东华测试技术面临业务不利因素。不幸的是,分析师也下调了收入预期,尽管我们的数据显示收入表现预计将好于整个市场。随着今年的预期大幅下调和目标股价的下降,如果投资者对东华测试科技持谨慎态度,我们也不会感到惊讶。

As you can see, the analysts clearly aren't bullish, and there might be good reason for that. We've identified some potential issues with DongHua Testing Technology's financials, such as concerns around earnings quality. Learn more, and discover the 1 other risk we've identified, for free on our platform here.

如你所见,分析师显然并不看涨,这可能是有充分理由的。我们已经发现东华测试科技的财务状况存在一些潜在问题,例如对收益质量的担忧。在我们的平台上免费了解更多,并发现我们已经确定的其他1种风险。

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

寻找可能达到转折点的有趣公司的另一种方法是使用内部人士收购的成长型公司的免费清单,跟踪管理层是买入还是卖出。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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