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Jiajiayue Group (SHSE:603708) Sheds CN¥792m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

Jiajiayue Group (SHSE:603708) Sheds CN¥792m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

佳佳悦集团(上海证券交易所代码:603708)下跌7.92亿元人民币,公司收益和投资者回报率在过去五年中一直呈下降趋势
Simply Wall St ·  04/17 21:27

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603708), since the last five years saw the share price fall 49%. Furthermore, it's down 18% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

选股的主要目的是寻找市场领先的股票。但主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们对佳佳悦集团有限公司(SHSE: 603708)的投资,因为过去五年股价下跌了49%。此外,它在大约一个季度内下降了18%。对于持有者来说,这并不好玩。

With the stock having lost 11% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

由于该股在过去一周下跌了11%,值得一看业务表现,看看是否有任何危险信号。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Jiajiayue Group moved from a loss to profitability. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

在五年的股价增长中,佳佳悦集团从亏损转为盈利。大多数人会认为这是一件好事,因此股价下跌是违反直觉的。其他指标可以更好地解释股价走势。

The modest 1.0% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 6.9% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

1.0%的适度股息收益率不太可能指导该股的市场观点。与股价形成鲜明对比的是,在五年期间,收入实际上每年增长6.9%。因此,看来人们可能必须仔细研究基本面才能理解股价下跌的原因。毕竟,可能有机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603708 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 18th 2024
SHSE: 603708 2024 年 4 月 18 日收益和收入增长

We know that Jiajiayue Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? You can see what analysts are predicting for Jiajiayue Group in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

我们知道家家悦集团最近提高了利润,但是未来会怎样?您可以在这张未来利润估计的交互式图表中看到分析师对佳佳悦集团的预测。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Jiajiayue Group the TSR over the last 5 years was -45%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,对于佳佳悦集团而言,过去5年的股东总回报率为-45%,好于上述股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Although it hurts that Jiajiayue Group returned a loss of 16% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 20%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Jiajiayue Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

尽管佳佳悦集团在过去十二个月中回报了16%的亏损令人痛心,但整个市场实际上更糟,回报了20%的亏损。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中8%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,冒险吧——佳佳悦集团有 1 个我们认为你应该注意的警告标志。

Of course Jiajiayue Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,佳佳悦集团可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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