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Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002522) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002522) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

浙江众成包装材料有限公司(SZSE:002522)股票一直在下滑,但基本面看起来不错:未来市场会修正股价吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 00:16

With its stock down 19% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material (SZSE:002522). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material's ROE today.

在过去三个月中,其库存下降了19%,很容易忽视浙江众成包装材料(SZSE:002522)。但是,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势一致。特别是,我们今天将关注浙江众成包装材料的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material is:

因此,根据上述公式,浙江众成包装材料的投资回报率为:

3.0% = CN¥68m ÷ CN¥2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

3.0% = 6800万元人民币 ÷ 23亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

“回报” 是每年的利润。因此,这意味着其股东每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.03CN的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material's Earnings Growth And 3.0% ROE

浙江众成包装材料的收益增长和3.0%的投资回报率

As you can see, Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.1%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, the moderate 16% net income growth seen by Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material over the past five years is definitely a positive. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

如你所见,浙江众成包装材料的投资回报率看起来相当疲软。即使与7.1%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当惨淡。但是,浙江众成包装材料在过去五年中实现了16%的温和净收入增长,这绝对是积极的。我们认为这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该公司的派息率较低或管理效率很高。

As a next step, we compared Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 11%.

下一步,我们将浙江众成包装材料的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,令人高兴的是,我们发现该公司的增长高于行业平均增长11%。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002522 Past Earnings Growth April 18th 2024
SZSE: 002522 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 18 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查一下相对于同行业而言,浙江众成包装材料的市盈率是高还是低。

Is Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

浙江众成包装材料是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 22% (implying that it retains 78% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

浙江众成包装材料的三年股东派息率中位数为22%(这意味着其保留了78%的收入),处于较低水平,因此管理层似乎正在大量再投资利润以发展其业务。

Additionally, Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

此外,浙江众成包装材料已在至少十年内派发了股息,这意味着该公司非常认真地与股东分享利润。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Zhejiang Zhongcheng Packing Material by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们认为浙江众成包装材料确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。尽管回报率很低,但由于对业务进行了大量再投资,该公司的收益增长令人印象深刻。虽然我们不会完全解散公司,但我们要做的是努力确定业务的风险,以便在公司周围做出更明智的决定。您可以访问我们的 2 种风险来查看我们为浙江众成包装材料确定的两种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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