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Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603129) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results

Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603129) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results

浙江长风摩托动力有限公司, Ltd (SHSE: 603129) 公布最新业绩后,分析师对该股相当看涨
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 19:38

Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603129) just released its latest full-year report and things are not looking great. Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd missed analyst forecasts, with revenues of CN¥12b and statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥6.69, falling short by 2.7% and 2.7% respectively. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

浙江长风摩托动力有限公司, Ltd(SHSE: 603129)刚刚发布了最新的全年报告,但情况看起来并不乐观。浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd未达到分析师的预期,收入为120亿元人民币,法定每股收益(EPS)为6.69元人民币,分别下降2.7%和2.7%。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以在报告中追踪公司的业绩,看看专家对明年的预测,看看对该业务的预期是否有任何变化。我们认为,读者会发现分析师对明年最新(法定)财报后的预测很有趣。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603129 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 18th 2024
SHSE: 603129 2024 年 4 月 18 日收益和收入增长

After the latest results, the nine analysts covering Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd are now predicting revenues of CN¥14.9b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a substantial 23% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 22% to CN¥8.19. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥15.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥8.51 in 2024. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

根据最新业绩,报道浙江长丰摩托动力有限公司的九位分析师现在预测2024年的收入为149亿元人民币。如果得到满足,这将反映出收入与过去12个月相比大幅增长了23%。预计每股收益将飙升22%,至8.19元人民币。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2024年的收入为151亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为8.51元人民币。鉴于明年每股收益略有下降,分析师在最新业绩公布后似乎对该业务变得更加消极了。

Althoughthe analysts have revised their earnings forecasts for next year, they've also lifted the consensus price target 16% to CN¥152, suggesting the revised estimates are not indicative of a weaker long-term future for the business. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd at CN¥175 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥126. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

尽管分析师已经修改了明年的收益预期,但他们也将共识目标股价上调了16%,至152元人民币,这表明修订后的估计并不表示该业务的长期前景疲软。共识目标股价只是个别分析师目标的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基础估计值的范围有多广。目前,最看涨的分析师估值浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd为每股175元人民币,而最看跌的分析师估值为126元人民币。这些目标股价表明,分析师对该业务的看法确实有所不同,但这些估计的差异不足以向我们表明,有些人押注取得巨大成功或彻底失败。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 23% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 34% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 16% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

现在从大局来看,我们理解这些预测的方法之一是看看它们与过去的表现和行业增长估计相比如何。很明显,预计浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd的收入增长将大幅放缓,预计到2024年底的收入按年计算将增长23%。相比之下,过去五年的历史增长率为34%。相比之下,该行业中其他有分析师报道的公司的收入预计将以每年16%的速度增长。即使在预测增长放缓之后,似乎很明显,浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd的增长速度也将超过整个行业。

The Bottom Line

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The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

最大的担忧是,分析师下调了每股收益预期,这表明浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd可能会面临业务不利因素。幸运的是,他们还再次确认了收入数字,表明收入符合预期。此外,我们的数据表明,收入的增长速度预计将快于整个行业。目标股价也大幅提高,分析师显然认为该业务的内在价值正在提高。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

考虑到这一点,我们不会很快就浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd得出结论。长期盈利能力比明年的利润重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们有分析师对浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd到2026年的全方位估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Zhejiang Cfmoto PowerLtd .

另外,你还应该了解一下我们在浙江Cfmoto PowerLtd发现的1个警告标志。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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