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Should Weakness in Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603136) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603136) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

江苏天目湖旅游股份有限公司的弱点应该是, Ltd(SHSE: 603136)的股票被视为鉴于财务状况良好,市场将修正股价的标志?
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 20:08

With its stock down 11% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd (SHSE:603136). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd's ROE.

江苏天目湖旅游有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:603136)的股票在过去一周下跌了11%,很容易被忽视。但是,如果你密切关注,你可能会发现其关键财务指标看起来相当不错,考虑到市场通常会奖励更具弹性的长期基本面,这可能意味着该股有可能在长期内上涨。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注江苏天目湖旅游有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,江苏天目湖旅游有限公司的投资回报率为:

11% = CN¥157m ÷ CN¥1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

11% = 1.57亿元人民币 ÷ 14亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.11 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。这意味着,每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,该公司就会产生0.11元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

江苏天目湖旅游有限公司的收益增长和11%的投资回报率

At first glance, Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 8.0% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Needless to say, we are quite surprised to see that Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd's net income shrunk at a rate of 12% over the past five years. Therefore, there might be some other aspects that could explain this. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

乍一看,江苏天目湖旅游有限公司的投资回报率似乎不错。与8.0%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。毋庸置疑,我们惊讶地看到,江苏天目湖旅游有限公司的净收入在过去五年中以12%的速度萎缩。因此,可能还有其他一些方面可以解释这一点。例如,可能是该公司的派息率很高,或者企业的资本配置不当。

As a next step, we compared Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd's performance with the industry and discovered the industry has shrunk at a rate of 26% in the same period meaning that the company has been shrinking its earnings at a rate lower than the industry. This does appease the negative sentiment around the company to a certain extent.

下一步,我们将江苏天目湖旅游有限公司的业绩与该行业进行了比较,发现该行业同期萎缩了26%,这意味着该公司的收益萎缩率一直低于该行业。这确实在一定程度上缓解了公司周围的负面情绪。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603136 Past Earnings Growth April 19th 2024
SHSE: 603136 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 19 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查相对于其行业,江苏天目湖旅游有限公司的市盈率是高还是低。

Is Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

江苏天目湖旅游有限公司是否在有效利用其利润?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a regular dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

尽管该公司过去确实派发了部分股息,但目前不支付定期股息。这意味着其所有利润可能都被再投资于该业务。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Jiangsu Tianmu Lake TourismLtd certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们认为江苏天目湖旅游有限公司确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。但是,鉴于高投资回报率和高利润保留率,我们预计该公司将实现强劲的收益增长,但情况并非如此。这表明该业务可能面临一些外部威胁,这阻碍了其增长。话虽如此,我们研究了分析师的最新预测,发现尽管该公司过去曾缩减收益,但分析师预计其未来收益将增长。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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