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The Three-year Earnings Decline Has Likely Contributed ToShenyang Chemical Industry's (SZSE:000698) Shareholders Losses of 52% Over That Period

The Three-year Earnings Decline Has Likely Contributed ToShenyang Chemical Industry's (SZSE:000698) Shareholders Losses of 52% Over That Period

三年的收益下降可能导致沈阳化工(SZSE: 000698)的股东在此期间损失了52%
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 20:33

The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Shenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000698) shareholders. Unfortunately, they have held through a 52% decline in the share price in that time. And over the last year the share price fell 23%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 18% in the last three months.

事实是,如果你投资足够长的时间,你最终会有一些亏损的股票。但是,对于沈阳化工股份有限公司(SZSE: 000698)的长期股东来说,过去三年尤其艰难。不幸的是,在那段时间内,他们的股价一直下跌了52%。在过去的一年中,股价下跌了23%,因此我们怀疑许多股东是否感到高兴。最近跌势加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了18%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Shenyang Chemical Industry isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果说过去一周有意义的话,投资者对沈阳化工的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。

Shenyang Chemical Industry wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

沈阳化工在过去十二个月中没有盈利,我们不太可能看到其股价与每股收益(EPS)之间存在很强的相关性。可以说,收入是我们的下一个最佳选择。无利可图的公司的股东通常希望强劲的收入增长。那是因为如果收入增长可以忽略不计,而且从来没有盈利,就很难确信一家公司能否实现可持续发展。

Over the last three years, Shenyang Chemical Industry's revenue dropped 26% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. Arguably, the market has responded appropriately to this business performance by sending the share price down 15% (annualized) in the same time period. When revenue is dropping, and losses are still costing, and the share price sinking fast, it's fair to ask if something is remiss. After losing money on a declining business with falling stock price, we always consider whether eager bagholders are still offering us a reasonable exit price.

在过去三年中,沈阳化工的收入每年下降26%。这意味着与其他亏损公司相比,其收入趋势非常疲软。可以说,市场对这一业务表现做出了适当的反应,使股价在同一时期下跌了15%(按年计算)。当收入下降,亏损仍在付出代价,股价快速下跌时,可以公平地问一下是否存在疏忽之处。在因股价下跌的业务而蒙受损失之后,我们一直在考虑急切的持仓者是否仍在向我们提供合理的退出价格。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000698 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 19th 2024
SZSE: 000698 2024年4月19日收益和收入增长

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Shenyang Chemical Industry shareholders are down 23% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 16%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shenyang Chemical Industry , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我们遗憾地报告,沈阳化工的股东今年下跌了23%。不幸的是,这比整个市场16%的跌幅还要严重。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中6%的年化亏损还要糟糕。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向沈阳化工确定了一个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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