Despite an already strong run, C-Link Squared Limited (HKG:1463) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 41% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Professional Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may consider C-Link Squared as a stock not worth researching with its 31.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
SEHK:1463 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2024
How C-Link Squared Has Been Performing
For example, consider that C-Link Squared's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for C-Link Squared, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is C-Link Squared's Revenue Growth Trending?
C-Link Squared's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 22% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that C-Link Squared's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
C-Link Squared's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that C-Link Squared currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for C-Link Squared (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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