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Is InfotmicLtd (SZSE:000670) A Risky Investment?

Is InfotmicLtd (SZSE:000670) A Risky Investment?

InfotmicLtd(深圳证券交易所股票代码:000670)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 22:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Infotmic Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000670) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,Infotmic Co., Ltd(深圳证券交易所股票代码:000670)确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does InfotmicLtd Carry?

InfotmicLTD 背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, InfotmicLtd had CN¥472.2m of debt, up from CN¥234.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥16.6m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥455.5m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,InfotmicLtd的债务为4.722亿元人民币,高于去年同期的2.345亿加元。点击图片查看更多细节。另一方面,它拥有1660万元的现金,净负债约为4.555亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000670 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2024
SZSE: 000670 2024 年 4 月 19 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At InfotmicLtd's Liabilities

看看 InfotmicLTD 的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that InfotmicLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.59b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥77.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥16.6m and CN¥1.08b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥564.3m.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,InfotmicLtd的负债为15.9亿元人民币,12个月内到期的负债为7,720万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为1,660万元人民币,还有价值10.8亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额5.643亿元人民币。

Since publicly traded InfotmicLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥3.97b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由于上市的InfotmicLtd股票总价值为39.7亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Weak interest cover of 1.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.3 hit our confidence in InfotmicLtd like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, InfotmicLtd's EBIT was down 49% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is InfotmicLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

1.2倍的薄弱利息覆盖率和令人不安的高净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率9.3打击了我们对InfotmicLTD的信心,就像是一二的冲击。这里的债务负担是沉重的。更糟糕的是,InfotmicLtd的息税前利润比去年下降了49%。如果收益长期保持这样的水平,那么偿还债务的可能性很小。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是InfotmicLTD的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, InfotmicLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,InfotmicLTD消耗了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, InfotmicLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider InfotmicLtd to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with InfotmicLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

从表面上看,InfotmicLTD将息税前利润转换为自由现金流使我们对该股持初步看法,其息税前利润增长率并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。但至少它的总负债水平还不错。我们很清楚,由于其资产负债表状况良好,我们认为InfotmicLTD的风险确实相当大。出于这个原因,我们对该股非常谨慎,我们认为股东应密切关注其流动性。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经向InfotmicLTD确定了1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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