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Is Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603703) A Risky Investment?

Is Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603703) A Risky Investment?

浙江盛阳科技股份有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603703)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 23:07

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Zhejiang Shengyang Science and Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603703) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,浙江圣阳科技股份有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所代码:603703)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任由他们摆布。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,银行家无情地清算倒闭的企业。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,这也是为了自己的利益。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起看。

What Is Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's Debt?

浙江圣阳科技有限公司的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥664.1m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥740.9m over a year. However, it also had CN¥348.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥315.6m.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年12月底,浙江圣阳科技有限公司的债务为6.641亿元人民币,较一年7.409亿元人民币有所减少。但是,它也有3.485亿加元的现金,因此其净负债为3.156亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603703 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2024
SHSE: 603703 2024 年 4 月 19 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

浙江圣阳科技股份有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥689.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥236.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥348.5m and CN¥212.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥365.5m.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,浙江圣阳科技有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为6.899亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为2.365亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为3.485亿元人民币,还有价值2.125亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额3.655亿元人民币。

Since publicly traded Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥3.86b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由于上市的浙江圣阳科技股份有限公司股票总价值为386亿元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

While we wouldn't worry about Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.9, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.52 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. One redeeming factor for Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥6.6m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

虽然我们不担心浙江圣阳科技股份有限公司的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率为4.9,但我们认为其0.52倍的超低利息覆盖率是高杠杆率的标志。这在很大程度上是由于该公司收取了巨额折旧和摊销费用,这可以说意味着其息税折旧摊销前利润是衡量收益的非常慷慨的指标,其债务可能比最初看起来更具负担。因此,股东可能应该意识到,最近利息支出似乎确实影响了业务。浙江圣阳科技股份有限公司的一个赎回因素是,在过去十二个月中,它将去年的息税前利润亏损转化为660万元人民币的收益。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为浙江圣阳科技有限公司需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,重要的是要检查其利息和税前收益(EBIT)中有多少可以转换为实际的自由现金流。去年,浙江圣阳科技有限公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Shengyang Science and TechnologyLtd you should know about.

坦率地说,浙江圣阳科技有限公司的利息保障及其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。但好的一面是,其总负债水平是一个好兆头,也使我们更加乐观。综合考虑上述所有因素,在我们看来,浙江圣阳科技有限公司的债务使其有点风险。这不一定是一件坏事,但我们通常会因为降低杠杆率而感到更自在。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们发现了两个你应该知道的浙江圣阳科技有限公司的警告标志。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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