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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About GUOMAI Culture & Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301052)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About GUOMAI Culture & Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301052)?

股票下跌和财务状况良好:市场对国迈文化传媒有限公司(深交所股票代码:301052)的看法错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/19 19:16

With its stock down 20% over the past month, it is easy to disregard GUOMAI Culture & Media (SZSE:301052). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on GUOMAI Culture & Media's ROE.

由于其股票在过去一个月中下跌了20%,很容易忽视国迈文化传媒(深圳证券交易所代码:301052)。但是,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势一致。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注国迈文化传媒的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GUOMAI Culture & Media is:

因此,根据上述公式,国迈文化传媒的投资回报率为:

8.0% = CN¥54m ÷ CN¥671m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

8.0% = 5400万元人民币 ÷ 6.71亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。将其概念化的一种方法是,公司每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,就能获得0.08元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

GUOMAI Culture & Media's Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

国迈文化传媒的收益增长和8.0%的投资回报率

When you first look at it, GUOMAI Culture & Media's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 6.1% doesn't go unnoticed by us. Still, GUOMAI Culture & Media has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the low to flat growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

当你第一次看时,国迈文化传媒的投资回报率看起来并不那么吸引人。但是,其投资回报率远高于行业平均水平的6.1%,这一事实并没有被我们忽视。尽管如此,在过去五年中,国迈文化传媒的净收入增长一直持平。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。只是行业的投资回报率较低。因此,收益的低增长至持平也可能是其结果。

We then compared GUOMAI Culture & Media's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 2.3% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将国迈文化传媒的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数字低于同期行业2.3%的平均增长率,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301052 Past Earnings Growth April 19th 2024
SZSE: 301052 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 19 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about GUOMAI Culture & Media's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。如果你想知道国迈文化传媒的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is GUOMAI Culture & Media Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

国迈文化与媒体是否在有效利用其利润?

GUOMAI Culture & Media's low three-year median payout ratio of 13%, (meaning the company retains87% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.

GUOMAI Culture & Media的三年中位派息率较低,为13%(这意味着该公司保留了87%的利润),这应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益,因此增长幅度应高于其报告的水平。

In addition, GUOMAI Culture & Media only recently started paying a dividend so the management must have decided the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,GUOMAI Culture & Media直到最近才开始派发股息,因此管理层一定已经决定股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that GUOMAI Culture & Media certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们认为国迈文化传媒确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。但是,尽管该公司的投资回报率确实不错,利润保留率很高,但其收益增长数字令人失望。这表明业务可能面临一些外部威胁,这阻碍了增长。既然如此,分析师的最新预测显示,该公司的收益将继续增长。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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