Dashang's (SHSE:600694) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
Dashang's (SHSE:600694) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
Dashang Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600694) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit numbers, our analysis has optimistic about the overall quality of the income statement.
大商有限公司”s(上海证券交易所代码:600694)上周公布的财报并没有给股东留下深刻的印象。尽管利润数据疲软,但我们的分析对损益表的整体质量持乐观态度。
Zooming In On Dashang's Earnings
放大达尚的收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。
Dashang has an accrual ratio of -0.27 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥1.6b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥505.1m. Dashang shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
截至2023年12月的一年中,大商的应计比率为-0.27。这表明其自由现金流大大超过了其法定利润。换句话说,它在此期间产生了16亿元人民币的自由现金流,使其报告的5.051亿元利润相形见绌。毫无疑问,大商股东对过去十二个月自由现金流的改善感到高兴。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。
Our Take On Dashang's Profit Performance
我们对大商盈利表现的看法
Happily for shareholders, Dashang produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Dashang's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Dashang has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
令股东高兴的是,大商创造了充足的自由现金流来支持其法定利润数字。正因为如此,我们认为大商的潜在盈利潜力与法定利润看上去一样好,甚至可能更好!我们高兴地注意到,在过去三年中,每股收益至少朝着正确的方向发展。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如-Dashang 有 1 个警告标志,我们认为你应该注意。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Dashang's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
这份报告只研究了揭示大尚利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。