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HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Shareholders Have Endured a 25% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments (HKG:2638) Shareholders Have Endured a 25% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

港灯电力投资和港灯电力投资(HKG: 2638)的股东因五年前投资该股而遭受了25%的亏损
Simply Wall St ·  04/20 21:45

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited (HKG:2638) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade.

对于许多人来说,投资的主要目的是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是,即使是最好的选股者也只能通过以下方式获胜 一些 选择。因此,我们不会责怪港灯电力投资和港灯电力投资有限公司(HKG: 2638)的长期股东对他们的持股决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了41%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 0.7% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在股价下滑的不幸五年中,港灯电力投资和港灯电力投资的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长0.7%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,市场此前可能非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股还是令人失望。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.

通过浏览这些数字,我们可以假设五年前,市场对更高的增长抱有预期。看看其他指标可能会更好地解释股价的变化。

The most recent dividend was actually lower than it was in the past, so that may have sent the share price lower.

最近的股息实际上低于过去,因此这可能使股价走低。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:2638 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 21st 2024
SEHK: 2638 2024年4月21日收益和收入增长

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments' TSR for the last 5 years was -25%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,港灯电力投资和港灯电力投资在过去5年的股东总回报率为-25%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 1.5% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 10%. What is more upsetting is the 5% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但港灯电力投资和港灯电力投资的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的1.5%的亏损没有市场损失约10%那么严重。更令人沮丧的是,在过去的五年中,投资者每年遭受5%的损失。这种股价走势并不特别令人鼓舞,但至少亏损正在放缓。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,请注意,港灯电力投资和港灯电力投资在我们的投资分析中显示出两个警告信号,其中一个有点令人担忧...

But note: HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:港灯电力投资和港灯电力投资可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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