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Is Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group (SHSE:600329) A Risky Investment?

Is Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group (SHSE:600329) A Risky Investment?

天津药业达仁堂集团(SHSE: 600329)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/21 20:45

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group Corporation Limited (SHSE:600329) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,天津药业达仁堂集团股份有限公司(SHSE: 600329)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group Carry?

天津药业达仁堂集团背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group had CN¥332.8m of debt, an increase on CN¥262.9m, over one year. But it also has CN¥2.19b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.85b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年12月,天津制药达仁堂集团在一年内有3.328亿元人民币的债务,比2.629亿加元的债务有所增加。但它也有21.9亿元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为18.5亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600329 Debt to Equity History April 22nd 2024
SHSE: 600329 2024 年 4 月 22 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group's Balance Sheet?

天津药业达仁堂集团的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group had liabilities of CN¥3.23b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥351.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.19b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.69b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.29b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,天津药业大仁堂集团的负债为32.3亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为3.519亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它还有价值26.9亿元人民币的现金以及价值26.9亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有1.29亿元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This surplus suggests that Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明天津药业大仁堂集团的资产负债表比较保守,很可能可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,天津药业大仁堂集团拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

And we also note warmly that Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group grew its EBIT by 19% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

我们还热烈地注意到,天津药业达仁堂集团去年的息税前利润增长了19%,使其债务负担更易于处理。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益将决定天津制药大仁堂集团未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管天津制药大仁堂集团的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去三年中,天津药业达仁堂集团产生的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的88%,超出了我们的预期。这使其在偿还债务方面处于非常有利的地位。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group has CN¥1.85b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 88% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥548m. So is Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Tianjin Pharmaceutical Da Ren Tang Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在本案中,天津制药大仁堂集团的净现金为18.5亿元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。最重要的是,它将息税前利润的88%转换为自由现金流,带来了5.48亿元人民币的收入。那么天津药业大仁堂集团的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向天津药业达仁堂集团确定了一个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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