share_log

Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)(SZSE:000029)是否以风险方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  04/21 21:42

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000029) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,深圳经济特区房地产置业(集团)有限公司(深圳证券交易所:000029)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s Net Debt?

深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had debt of CN¥217.0m, up from CN¥111.5m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.75b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.53b net cash position.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年12月,深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)的债务为2.17亿元人民币,高于一年的1.115亿元人民币。但另一方面,它也有17.5亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为15.3亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000029 Debt to Equity History April 22nd 2024
SZSE:000029 2024 年 4 月 22 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s Balance Sheet?

深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had liabilities of CN¥2.53b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥182.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.75b in cash and CN¥124.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥834.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)在12个月内到期的负债为25.3亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为1.824亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有17.5亿元人民币的现金和1.246亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额为8.343亿元人民币,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。

Of course, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) has a market capitalization of CN¥9.27b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

当然,深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)的市值为927亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。尽管负债值得关注,但深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 16%, to CN¥531m. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了16%,至5.31亿元人民币。这不是我们希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)?

那么,深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)的风险有多大?

While Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥1.0b. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) you should know about.

尽管深圳经济特区房地产与地产(集团)在息税前收益(EBIT)水平上出现亏损,但它实际上创造了正的自由现金流10亿元人民币。因此,从面值来看,考虑到净现金状况,我们认为该股在短期内风险不大。在我们看到息税前利润为正数之前,我们对该股持谨慎态度,尤其是因为收入增长相当温和。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了一个你应该知道的深圳经济特区房地产和地产(集团)的警告标志。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发