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Shanghai Material Trading's (SHSE:600822) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Shanghai Material Trading's (SHSE:600822) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

上海物资交易所(SHSE: 600822)的强劲收益质量良好
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 19:06

Investors were disappointed with Shanghai Material Trading Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600822) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We think that the market might be paying attention to some underlying factors that they find to be concerning.

尽管利润数字强劲,但投资者对物贸b股(SHSE:600822)的收益感到失望。我们认为市场可能关注了一些他们担忧的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600822 Earnings and Revenue History April 22nd 2024
SHSE:600822的财报和营业收入历史记录于2024年4月22日

A Closer Look At Shanghai Material Trading's Earnings

对物贸b股收益的更深入了解

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个重要财务比率是应计比率。 应计比率将FCF从给定时期的利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在该期间的平均运营资产。 您可以将非自由现金流获利比率视为从现金流中提取的应计比率。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负应计比率对公司有益,而正应计比率则不利。 尽管应计比率高于零并无大碍,但我们认为当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润率降低或利润增长减缓。

For the year to December 2023, Shanghai Material Trading had an accrual ratio of -0.35. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥272m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥140.0m. Notably, Shanghai Material Trading had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥272m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月,物贸b股的应计比率为-0.35。这表明其自由现金流相当大地超过了其法定利润。实际上,它在去年实现了2.72亿元的自由现金流,比其法定利润的1.4亿元要多得多。值得注意的是,物贸b股去年的自由现金流为负,因此今年产生的2.72亿元是一个令人欣喜的进展。然而,这还不是所有需要考虑的。我们可以看到,非常规项目对其法定利润,因此对应计比率产生了影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Material Trading.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表强度。单击此处跳转到我们对物贸b股资产负债表的分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Surprisingly, given Shanghai Material Trading's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥14m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Shanghai Material Trading had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

令人惊讶的是,尽管物贸b股的应计比率暗示了强大的现金转换能力,但其纸面利润实际上还因为非常规项目的贡献而增加了1,400万元人民币。虽然拥有更高的利润总是不错的,但有时来自非常规项目的大量贡献会抑制我们的热情。当我们对数千家上市公司的数据进行分析时,我们发现同一年中非常规项目的增加经常不会在下一年重复出现。因为这些提高被描述为“非常规”。相对于2023年12月的利润,物贸b股的非常规贡献相当显著。其他条件不变的情况下,这可能会导致法定利润成为底层盈利能力的差劣指标。

Our Take On Shanghai Material Trading's Profit Performance

我们对物贸b股的利润表现的看法

Shanghai Material Trading's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Shanghai Material Trading's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Material Trading you should know about.

物贸b股的利润获得了来自非常规项目的推动,这表明它们可能不会持续,但其应计比率仍指示出了坚实的现金转换能力,这是一种很有前途的迹象。基于这些因素,很难确定物贸b股的利润是否合理反映了其基本利润能力。考虑到这一点,除非我们全面了解风险,否则我们不会考虑投资。每个公司都有风险,我们已经发现了物贸b股的1个警示标志,您应该了解。

Our examination of Shanghai Material Trading has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对物贸b股的研究重点放在了某些可以使其收益看起来比实际收益更好的因素上。但是,还有许多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。例如,许多人将高股东净收益视为良好业务经济的指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现此处收藏高股东净收益的公司列表或此处内部人员正在购买的股票列表很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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