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Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's (SHSE:603182) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's (SHSE:603182) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

山东国荣健康食品(SHSE: 603182)的股东需要担心的不仅仅是疲软的收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 19:44

A lackluster earnings announcement from Shandong Sinoglory Health Food Co., Ltd (SHSE:603182) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

山东国荣健康食品有限公司(SHSE: 603182)上周公布的财报乏善可陈,但并未使股价下跌。我们认为,投资者担心收益背后的一些弱点。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603182 Earnings and Revenue History April 22nd 2024
SHSE: 603182 2024 年 4 月 22 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's Earnings

仔细看看山东华光健康食品的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将申报的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以公司在该时期内的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to December 2023, Shandong Sinoglory Health Food had an accrual ratio of 0.35. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥110.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥117m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥64m a year ago though, so Shandong Sinoglory Health Food has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2023年12月的一年中,山东华荣健康食品的应计比率为0.35。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这引发了人们对该利润数字到底有多有用的质疑。尽管该公司报告的利润为1.101亿元人民币,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了1.17亿元人民币。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为6400万元人民币,因此山东华光健康食品过去至少能够产生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shandong Sinoglory Health Food.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对山东华荣健康食品的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's Profit Performance

我们对山东国荣健康食品盈利表现的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Shandong Sinoglory Health Food didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 12% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shandong Sinoglory Health Food at this point in time. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Shandong Sinoglory Health Food (1 is a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

正如我们已经明确表示的那样,我们有点担心山东中光健康食品没有用自由现金流来支持去年的利润。出于这个原因,我们认为山东中光健康食品的法定利润可能不利于其潜在盈利能力,并可能给投资者留下过于积极的印象。但是,至少持有人可以从过去三年的每股收益每年增长12%中得到一些安慰。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多需要考虑的地方。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑山东华光健康食品目前面临的风险同样重要。我们的分析显示,山东华光健康食品有两个警告信号(一个有点不愉快!)我们强烈建议您在投资之前先看看它们。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shandong Sinoglory Health Food's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

本报告仅研究了揭示山东华光健康食品利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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