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Shanghai Sinotec's (SHSE:603121) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 31% Loss

Shanghai Sinotec's (SHSE:603121) Earnings Have Declined Over Five Years, Contributing to Shareholders 31% Loss

上海华诺科技(SHSE: 603121)的收益在五年内有所下降,导致股东亏损31%
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 19:58

This week we saw the Shanghai Sinotec Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603121) share price climb by 16%. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 35% in that half decade.

本周我们看到上海华诺科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 603121)的股价上涨了16%。但是,如果你看看过去的五年,回报并不理想。购买指数基金的表现要好得多,因为该股在那五年中下跌了35%。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥379m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,该公司的市值在过去的7天内就增加了3.79亿元人民币,因此,让我们看看我们能否确定导致股东五年亏损的原因。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Looking back five years, both Shanghai Sinotec's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 5.8% per year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 8% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.

回顾五年,上海Sinotec的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降5.8%。每股收益的下降幅度低于股价每年下降的8%。这意味着市场此前对该股过于乐观。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:603121 Earnings Per Share Growth April 23rd 2024
SHSE: 603121 每股收益增长 2024 年 4 月 23 日

Dive deeper into Shanghai Sinotec's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Shanghai Sinotec's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看这张上海中科收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解上海华诺泰克的关键指标。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那么股东总回报(TSR)呢?

We've already covered Shanghai Sinotec's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Shanghai Sinotec's TSR, which was a 31% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

我们已经报道了上海中科的股价走势,但我们还应该提及其股东总回报率(TSR)。股东总回报率试图捕捉股息(就好像它们被再投资一样)以及向股东提供的任何分拆或折扣资本筹集的价值。其股息支付历史意味着上海华诺泰克的股东总回报率为31% 下降 在过去的5年中,没有股价回报率那么糟糕。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that Shanghai Sinotec shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 18% over the last year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 6% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanghai Sinotec (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高兴看到上海Sinotec的股东在过去一年中获得了18%的总股东回报率。毫无疑问,最近的回报远好于五年内每年6%的股东总收益损失。长期亏损使我们保持谨慎,但短期股东总回报率的增长无疑暗示着更光明的未来。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经确定了上海赛诺泰克的两个警告信号(至少有一个让我们有点不舒服),了解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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