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4.1% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002900) Shareholders Over That Period

4.1% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical (SZSE:002900) Shareholders Over That Period

三年内4.1%的收益增长尚未转化为哈尔滨美迪森制药(SZSE:002900)股东在此期间的收益
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 20:13

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002900) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 34% in three years, versus a market decline of about 19%. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 17%.

许多投资者将成功的投资定义为长期超过市场平均水平。但是,如果你尝试选股,你的风险回报低于市场。我们遗憾地报告,哈尔滨美迪生制药有限公司(SZSE:002900)的长期股东有过这样的经历,股价在三年内下跌了34%,而市场跌幅约为19%。上周股价继续下跌,下跌了约17%。

After losing 17% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在上周下跌了17%之后,值得研究该公司的基本面,看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

哈尔滨美迪森制药在过去五年中实现了盈利。这通常会被视为利好,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。因此,值得研究其他指标来了解股价走势。

The modest 1.0% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Arguably the revenue decline of 7.1% per year has people thinking Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical is shrinking. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.

1.0%的适度股息收益率不太可能指导该股的市场观点。可以说,每年7.1%的收入下降使人们认为哈尔滨美迪森制药正在萎缩。毕竟,如果收入持续萎缩,将来可能很难找到收益增长。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002900 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 24th 2024
SZSE: 002900 2024年4月24日收益和收入增长

If you are thinking of buying or selling Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考虑买入或卖出哈尔滨美迪桑制药的股票,则应查看其资产负债表上的这份免费的详细报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical's TSR for the last 3 years was -32%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,哈尔滨医药在过去三年的股东总回报率为-32%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 11% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 15%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Harbin Medisan Pharmaceutical (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但哈尔滨医药的股东们可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的11%亏损没有市场损失约15%那么严重。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中3%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管罗斯柴尔德男爵确实告诉投资者 “街上有血时买入,即使血是你自己的”,但买家需要仔细检查数据,以确定业务本身是健全的。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该了解我们在哈尔滨美地三药业发现的3个警告信号(其中一个让我们有点不舒服)。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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