The CTR Holdings Limited (HKG:1416) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 44%. Looking further back, the 15% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that CTR Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
SEHK:1416 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 24th 2024
How Has CTR Holdings Performed Recently?
CTR Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for CTR Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like CTR Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.4% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 147% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.5% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that CTR Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What Does CTR Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
CTR Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
To our surprise, CTR Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for CTR Holdings (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on CTR Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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