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There May Be Reason For Hope In BGI Genomics' (SZSE:300676) Disappointing Earnings

There May Be Reason For Hope In BGI Genomics' (SZSE:300676) Disappointing Earnings

华大基因基因组学(深圳证券交易所代码:300676)令人失望的收益可能有理由抱有希望
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 19:28

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300676) lackluster earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

股东们似乎对华大基因组有限公司漠不关心。”s(深圳证券交易所代码:300676)上周的收益报告乏善可陈。我们的分析表明,尽管利润疲软,但业务基础却很牢固。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300676 Earnings and Revenue History April 24th 2024
SZSE: 300676 2024 年 4 月 24 日的收益和收入记录

Zooming In On BGI Genomics' Earnings

放大华大基因组学的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。尽管应计比率为正(表明非现金利润达到一定水平)不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸质利润与现金流不匹配。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, BGI Genomics recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥92.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥828m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥828m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,华大基因组学记录的应计比率为0.21。因此,我们可以推断出其自由现金流远不足以支付其法定利润。尽管该公司公布了9,290万元人民币的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了8.28亿元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年8.28亿元的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of BGI Genomics.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对华大基因组学的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

BGI Genomics' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥53m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to December 2023, BGI Genomics had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

华大基因的利润受到不寻常项目的影响,在过去的十二个月中,利润减少了5300万元人民币。如果这是一笔非现金费用,则可以更轻松地实现高现金转换,因此令人惊讶的是,应计比率讲述了一个不同的故事。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,华大基因组学有一笔不寻常的巨额项目支出。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显低于原来的水平。

Our Take On BGI Genomics' Profit Performance

我们对华大基因组学盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, BGI Genomics' accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Based on these factors, we think that BGI Genomics' profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into BGI Genomics, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for BGI Genomics (2 are a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

总之,华大基因的应计比率表明,尽管不寻常的项目打压了利润,但其法定收益没有现金流支持。基于这些因素,我们认为华大基因的利润是衡量其潜在盈利能力的相当保守的指南。如果你想更深入地研究华大基因组学,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。例如,我们已经确定了你应该熟悉的华大基因组学的3个警告信号(2个有点令人担忧)。

Our examination of BGI Genomics has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对华大基因组学的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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