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Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's (HKG:8115) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's (HKG:8115) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

上海青浦消防设备(HKG: 8115)的收益可能只是起点
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 20:27

Even though Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:8115) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.

尽管上海青浦消防设备有限公司's (HKG: 8115) 最近公布的财报表现强劲,市场似乎没有注意到。我们认为,投资者错过了利润数据背后的一些令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:8115 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SEHK: 8115 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入记录

Zooming In On Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's Earnings

放大上海青浦消防设备的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

For the year to December 2023, Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment had an accrual ratio of -0.17. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥13m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥8.52m. Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,上海青浦消防设备的应计率为-0.17。这意味着它的现金转化率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为1300万元人民币,远远超过其852万元人民币的法定利润。毫无疑问,上海青浦消防设备的股东对过去十二个月自由现金流的改善感到高兴。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海青浦消防设备的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥2.6m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

尽管应计率可能是个好兆头,但我们还注意到,在过去的十二个月中,价值260万元人民币的不寻常物品提振了上海青浦消防设备的利润。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。截至2023年12月,上海青浦消防设备从不寻常的项目中获得了相当大的利润。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。

Our Take On Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's Profit Performance

我们对上海青浦消防设备盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment you should know about.

总之,上海青浦消防设备的应计比率表明其法定收益质量良好,但另一方面,利润是由不寻常的项目提振的。鉴于截然不同的考虑,我们对上海青浦消防设备的利润是否恰当反映了其潜在的盈利潜力没有强烈的看法。如果您想进一步了解上海青浦消防设备作为一家企业,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了两个你应该知道的上海青浦消防设备的警告标志。

Our examination of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对上海青浦消防设备的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益好于实际的因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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