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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's (SHSE:601019) Earnings

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's (SHSE:601019) Earnings

山东出版与媒体有限公司(SHSE: 601019)的收益质量可能存在潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 18:42

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Shandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:601019) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

尽管公布了一些强劲的收益,但山东出版传媒股份有限公司的市场依然存在, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:601019)的股票涨幅不大。我们的分析表明,这可能是因为股东已经注意到了一些相关的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601019 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SHSE: 601019 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入历史记录

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Importantly, our data indicates that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's profit received a boost of CN¥274m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

重要的是,我们的数据表明,与去年相比,山东出版传媒有限公司的不寻常项目利润增加了2.74亿元人民币。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。如果山东出版与媒体没有看到这种贡献重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其利润将在本年度下降。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不寻常的税收状况

Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd received a tax benefit of CN¥274m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

在已经讨论了这些不寻常物品的影响之后,我们还应该指出,山东出版传媒获得了2.74亿元人民币的税收优惠。这是有意义的,因为公司通常纳税而不是获得税收优惠。获得税收优惠本身显然是一件好事。但是,细节上的问题在于,此类福利仅在预订当年有影响,而且本质上通常是一次性的。如果税收优惠可能不重演,我们预计其法定利润水平将下降,至少在没有强劲增长的情况下是如此。

Our Take On Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's Profit Performance

我们对山东出版传媒有限公司盈利表现的看法

In the last year Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd received a tax benefit, which boosted its profit in a way that might not be much more sustainable than turning prime farmland into gas fields. And on top of that, it also saw an unusual item boost its profit, suggesting that next year might see a lower profit number, if these events are not repeated. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

去年,山东出版与媒体有限公司获得了一项税收优惠,这增加了其利润,其可持续性可能不会比将优质农田变成气田更具可持续性。最重要的是,它还看到一个不寻常的项目提高了利润,这表明如果这些事件不重演,明年的利润数字可能会降低。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼山东出版传媒公司的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。例如,我们发现山东出版传媒有 2 个警告信号(1 个不容忽视!)在进行进一步分析之前,这值得你注意。

Our examination of Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对山东出版与媒体有限公司的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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