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Why Starjoy Wellness and Travel's (HKG:3662) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Starjoy Wellness and Travel's (HKG:3662) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么 Starjoy Wellness and Travel(HKG: 3662)收入不稳定只是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 19:49

Investors weren't pleased with the recent soft earnings report from Starjoy Wellness and Travel Company Limited (HKG:3662). We did some digging and believe that things are better than they seem due to some encouraging factors.

投资者对Starjoy Wellness and Travel Company Company Limited(HKG: 3662)最近的疲软收益报告不满意。我们进行了一些挖掘,并认为由于一些令人鼓舞的因素,情况比看起来要好。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:3662 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SEHK: 3662 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入记录

Examining Cashflow Against Starjoy Wellness and Travel's Earnings

将现金流与Starjoy Wellness and Travel的收入进行比较

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Starjoy Wellness and Travel recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥94m, which is significantly less than its profit of CN¥157.1m. Notably, Starjoy Wellness and Travel had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥94m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,Starjoy Wellness and Travel的应计比率为0.23。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为9400万元人民币,大大低于其1.571亿加元的利润。值得注意的是,Starjoy Wellness and Travel去年的自由现金流为负数,因此其今年的9400万元人民币是一个可喜的改善。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Starjoy Wellness and Travel.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对Starjoy健康与旅行的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Starjoy Wellness and Travel's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥24m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Starjoy Wellness and Travel to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Starjoy Wellness and Travel的利润受到不寻常项目的影响,在过去的十二个月中,利润减少了2400万元人民币。如果这是非现金支出,如果现金流保持强劲,本来可以改善应计比率,因此,再加上平淡无奇的应计比率,就不太好了。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。假设这些不寻常的支出不会再次出现,因此,我们预计Starjoy Wellness and Travel在其他条件相同的情况下,明年将产生更高的利润。

Our Take On Starjoy Wellness and Travel's Profit Performance

我们对Starjoy 健康与旅行盈利表现的看法

Starjoy Wellness and Travel saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Starjoy Wellness and Travel's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Starjoy Wellness and Travel (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

Starjoy Wellness and Travel看到不寻常的项目压制了其利润,这本来可以更容易地显示出高现金转化率,但根据其应计比率,Starjoy Wellness and Travel没有这样做。基于这些因素,很难判断Starjoy Wellness and Travel的利润是否合理地反映了其潜在的盈利能力。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。当我们进行研究时,我们发现了 3 个 Starjoy Wellness and Travel 的警告信号(2 个不要坐得太好!)我们认为值得你全神贯注。

Our examination of Starjoy Wellness and Travel has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对Starjoy Wellness and Travel的审查侧重于某些可能使其收入看起来好于实际的因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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