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Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology's (SZSE:301520) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology's (SZSE:301520) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

安徽万邦医药科技(SZSE: 301520)的收益可能比你想象的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 18:09

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301520) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.

股东们似乎对安徽万邦医药科技有限公司并不感到兴奋。”s(深圳证券交易所股票代码:301520)尽管利润数字良好,但最近的收益报告。我们的分析发现了一些削弱利润基础的相关因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301520 Earnings and Revenue History April 26th 2024
SZSE: 301520 2024 年 4 月 26 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology's Earnings

仔细看看安徽万邦医药科技的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

For the year to March 2024, Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.66. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥1.8m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥112.8m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥1.8m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2024年3月的一年中,安徽万邦医药科技的应计比率为0.66。从统计学上讲,这对未来的收益来说确实是负面的。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为180万元人民币,而上述利润为1.128亿元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年180万元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对安徽万邦医药科技的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥9.1m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考虑到应计比率,在过去十二个月中,价值910万元人民币的不寻常项目提振了安徽万邦医药科技的利润也就不足为奇了。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,因此我们预计明年的利润将疲软(也就是说,在业务没有增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology's Profit Performance

我们对安徽万邦医药科技盈利表现的看法

Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology you should be aware of.

安徽万邦医药科技的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受到不寻常项目的提振。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼安徽万邦医药科技的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑安徽万邦医药科技目前面临的风险同样重要。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的安徽万邦医药科技的1个警告信号。

Our examination of Anhui Wanbang Pharmaceutical Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对安徽万邦医药科技的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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