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Why Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's (SZSE:301092) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's (SZSE:301092) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么浙江正光实业(SZSE: 301092)的收益不稳定只是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  04/28 20:24

The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301092) recently. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.

最近,浙江正光实业股份有限公司(SZSE: 301092)的疲软收益并没有给市场留下深刻的印象。我们进行了进一步的挖掘,认为除了法定利润外,他们还有其他一些值得关注的理由。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301092 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024
SZSE: 301092 2024 年 4 月 29 日的收益和收入记录

Zooming In On Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's Earnings

放大浙江正光实业的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者还没有听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to March 2024, Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial had an accrual ratio of 0.47. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥143m despite its profit of CN¥114.3m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥143m, this year, indicates high risk.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,浙江正光实业的应计比率为0.47。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为1.143亿元人民币,但其流出量仍为1.43亿元人民币,如上所述。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年1.43亿元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对浙江正光实业的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's Profit Performance

我们对浙江正光实业盈利表现的看法

As we discussed above, we think Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial and you'll want to know about these.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,我们认为浙江正光实业的收益没有得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。因此,我们认为浙江正光实业的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。不幸的是,在过去的十二个月中,其每股收益有所下降。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。如果你想更深入地了解浙江正光实业,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。你可能会有兴趣知道,我们发现了浙江正光实业的两个警告标志,你会想知道的。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单一数据点,以更好地了解浙江正光实业利润的性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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