With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.1x Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (NYSE:ZGN) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Ermenegildo Zegna as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ermenegildo Zegna.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Ermenegildo Zegna's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 127% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ermenegildo Zegna's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Ermenegildo Zegna's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Ermenegildo Zegna's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Ermenegildo Zegna with six simple checks.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ermenegildo Zegna, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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