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There May Be Some Bright Spots In Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's (SZSE:000933) Earnings

There May Be Some Bright Spots In Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's (SZSE:000933) Earnings

河南神火煤业和电力公司(SZSE: 000933)的收益可能有一些亮点
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 18:15

The market for Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power Corporation Limited's (SZSE:000933) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

河南神火煤业电力股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所股票代码:000933)在最近公布疲软的收益后,其股票市场没有太大波动。我们的分析表明,尽管利润疲软,但业务基础却很牢固。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:000933 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024
SZSE: 000933 2024 年 4 月 29 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's Earnings

放大河南神火煤炭工业和电力公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如财务爱好者已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与其利润相匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以公司在该时期内的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to March 2024, Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥9.1b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥5.45b. Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.

截至2024年3月的一年中,河南神火煤业和电力公司的应计率为-0.12。这意味着它具有良好的现金转化率,也意味着其去年的自由现金流稳步超过了利润。换句话说,它在此期间产生了91亿元人民币的自由现金流,使其报告的54.5亿元利润相形见绌。去年,河南神火煤业和电力公司的自由现金流实际上有所下降,这令人失望,就像不可生物降解的气球一样。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's Profit Performance

我们对河南神火煤业和电力盈利表现的看法

As we discussed above, Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power you should be aware of.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,河南神火煤业和电力公司的自由现金流相对于利润来说非常令人满意。正因为如此,我们认为河南神火煤业和电力公司的盈利潜力至少和看上去一样好,甚至可能更好!最重要的是,在过去三年中,其每股收益以极其惊人的速度增长。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。一个很好的例子:我们发现了河南神火煤业和电力公司的1个警告信号,你应该注意。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

本报告仅研究了揭示河南神火煤业和电力利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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