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China Publishing & Media Holdings (SHSE:601949) Could Easily Take On More Debt

China Publishing & Media Holdings (SHSE:601949) Could Easily Take On More Debt

中国出版传媒控股公司(SHSE: 601949)很容易承担更多债务
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 18:14

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601949) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,中国出版传媒控股有限公司(SHSE: 601949)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is China Publishing & Media Holdings's Net Debt?

中国出版传媒控股的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Publishing & Media Holdings had CN¥76.4m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥433.9m, one year before. But it also has CN¥5.28b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥5.20b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示中国出版传媒控股在2024年3月有7,640万元人民币的债务,低于一年前的4.339亿元人民币。但它也有52.8亿元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为52.0亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601949 Debt to Equity History April 29th 2024
SHSE: 601949 2024 年 4 月 29 日债务与股本的比率记录

A Look At China Publishing & Media Holdings' Liabilities

看看中国出版传媒控股的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Publishing & Media Holdings had liabilities of CN¥4.06b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.17b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥5.28b as well as receivables valued at CN¥894.3m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥943.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,中国出版传媒控股的负债为40.6亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为11.7亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有52.8亿元人民币的现金以及价值8.943亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出9.439亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that China Publishing & Media Holdings has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, China Publishing & Media Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种盈余表明中国出版传媒控股的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,中国出版传媒控股拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that China Publishing & Media Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 61%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is China Publishing & Media Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

除此之外,我们很高兴地报告,中国出版传媒控股已将其息税前利润提高了61%,从而减少了对未来债务偿还的担忧。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是中国出版传媒控股的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While China Publishing & Media Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, China Publishing & Media Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 78% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管中国出版传媒控股的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在最近三年中,中国出版传媒控股录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的78%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要的时候减少债务。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case China Publishing & Media Holdings has CN¥5.20b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 61% over the last year. So is China Publishing & Media Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Publishing & Media Holdings .

尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在这种情况下,中国出版传媒控股的净现金为52.0亿元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。它的息税前利润比去年增长了61%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。那么中国出版传媒控股的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,你应该注意我们在中国出版传媒控股公司发现的两个警告信号。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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