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We Think FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd's (SHSE:600573) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd's (SHSE:600573) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我们认为福建燕京汇泉啤酒有限公司(SHSE: 600573)的健康收益可能是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 19:11

FuJian YanJing HuiQuan Brewery Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600573) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. Our analysis suggests that shareholders might be missing some positive underlying factors in the earnings report.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600573 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024

Zooming In On FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.19. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥89m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥52.7m. FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 60% annually, over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. While it's really important to consider how well a company's statutory earnings represent its true earnings power, it's also worth taking a look at what analysts are forecasting for the future. At Simply Wall St, we have analyst estimates which you can view by clicking here.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of FuJian YanJing HuiQuan BreweryLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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